FOMC Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve committee that sets United States interest rates. Eight scheduled meetings a year, and the largest single influence on the dollar.

HomeEconomic CalendarFOMC Rate Decision
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Dates come from the same table as the economic calendar, which is updated from the published schedule. Times shown are GMT; the calendar converts them.

FOMC at a glance

Published byUS Federal Reserve
Usually releasedEight times a year, decision at 14:00 New York time
Typical impact ratingHigh
CurrencyUSD
Moves gold?Commonly, since gold is priced in dollars

What happens at a meeting

The Federal Open Market Committee decides the target range for the federal funds rate. The decision is published at 14:00 New York time along with a statement, and the chair holds a press conference half an hour later. Four times a year the release also includes projections from committee members.

The rate is usually the least surprising part

By the time a meeting arrives, the market has generally priced the decision correctly. What moves price is the language of the statement and what the chair says afterwards — whether the committee sounds more or less willing to move rates at the next meeting.

The projections

At four of the eight meetings, members publish where they expect rates to be in coming years. The chart of those expectations is widely followed. A shift in it can move the dollar more than the rate decision it accompanies.

The press conference is a second event

It starts thirty minutes after the decision and routinely produces a larger move than the decision did, in either direction. Traders who close positions after the statement and assume it is over are frequently surprised.

Recent releases

What was published, against what was expected. The market reacts to the gap between forecast and actual, not to whether the number was good.

DateCurrencyActualForecastPrevious
4 Sept 2026 USD
3 Sept 2026 USD
3 Sept 2026 USD
3 Sept 2026 USD
1 Sept 2026 USD
28 Aug 2026 USD
26 Aug 2026 USD
25 Aug 2026 USD

Questions

What time is the FOMC decision?

14:00 New York time, with the press conference at 14:30. That is late evening in South Asia and evening in Europe.

Why did the dollar move when rates were left unchanged?

Because the statement or the press conference changed what the market expects at future meetings. The decision itself is usually already priced; the guidance is not.

How many FOMC meetings are there?

Eight scheduled meetings a year, roughly every six weeks. Unscheduled meetings happen in emergencies and are very rare.

Does the FOMC affect gold?

Gold is priced in dollars and is sensitive to United States interest rate expectations, so it commonly reacts to these meetings.

Did this release cost you money?

The journal on this site records the date of every trade and compares your results on days with a high impact release against every other day. That turns a general worry about trading the news into a figure about your own record.

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